Birmingham City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1950 |
BPO
1 - 1
BIR
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1950 |
BIR
1 - 0
MAC
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1950 |
FUL
0 - 0
BIR
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1950 |
BIR
2 - 1
HUR
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1950 |
OPA
2 - 0
BIR
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1950 |
DER
1 - 1
NEW
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1950 |
NEW
3 - 1
BOL
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1950 |
WBA
1 - 1
NEW
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1950 |
NEW
2 - 1
DER
53%
21%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1950 |
SUN
2 - 2
NEW
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |