Birmingham City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1948 |
BIR
0 - 1
WOL
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1948 |
BIR
0 - 0
SUN
43%
24%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1948 |
ASV
0 - 3
BIR
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1948 |
BIR
1 - 2
SHE
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1948 |
MUD
3 - 0
BIR
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1948 |
NEW
1 - 0
EVE
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1948 |
NEW
3 - 2
SHE
59%
20%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1948 |
MUD
1 - 1
NEW
76%
14%
10%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1948 |
NEW
2 - 4
HUR
67%
17%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1948 |
ARS
0 - 1
NEW
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |