Birmingham City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1928 |
HUR
2 - 0
BIR
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1928 |
BIR
2 - 0
OPA
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1928 |
ARS
2 - 2
BIR
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1928 |
BIR
4 - 0
BUR
42%
23%
35%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1928 |
ASV
1 - 1
BIR
62%
19%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1928 |
NEW
1 - 5
LEI
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1928 |
BUR
5 - 1
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1928 |
NEW
2 - 3
BCF
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1928 |
SUN
1 - 1
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1928 |
NEW
7 - 5
ASV
64%
19%
18%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |