Birmingham City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
26.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1925 |
SHE
4 - 3
BIR
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1925 |
BIR
0 - 0
WBA
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1925 |
BIR
1 - 1
WHU
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1925 |
BIR
0 - 1
HUR
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
ASV
1 - 0
BIR
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1925 |
NEW
4 - 1
LEE
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1925 |
BUR
1 - 3
NEW
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1925 |
NEW
3 - 1
PNE
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1925 |
CAR
3 - 0
NEW
55%
25%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1925 |
NEW
2 - 0
SUN
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |