Birmingham City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
26.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1922 |
CHL
1 - 1
BIR
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1922 |
BIR
0 - 2
PNE
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1922 |
PNE
2 - 2
BIR
59%
22%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1922 |
BIR
1 - 0
BRA
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1922 |
BIR
3 - 1
MAC
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1922 |
NEW
2 - 0
EVE
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1922 |
MAC
1 - 0
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1922 |
NEW
5 - 1
MAC
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1922 |
WBA
1 - 2
NEW
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1922 |
BRA
2 - 3
NEW
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |