Birmingham City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
35.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1908 |
EVE
4 - 1
BIR
77%
14%
9%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
BOL
1 - 0
BIR
71%
17%
13%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
BIR
1 - 1
BBU
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1908 |
MUD
1 - 0
BIR
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1908 |
CHL
2 - 2
BIR
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
NEW
3 - 0
BCF
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1908 |
NEW
0 - 0
PNE
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
NEW
5 - 1
GRI
93%
5%
2%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1908 |
NEW
3 - 1
LIV
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1908 |
NEW
1 - 1
MAC
69%
17%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |