Birmingham City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1906 |
BIR
2 - 2
BRI
66%
17%
16%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1906 |
PNE
2 - 0
BIR
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1906 |
BIR
3 - 2
MAC
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1906 |
BIR
3 - 0
BBU
70%
17%
14%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1906 |
NTT
2 - 1
BIR
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1906 |
SHW
2 - 2
NEW
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1906 |
NEW
4 - 2
SUN
69%
18%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1906 |
NEW
3 - 0
BBU
75%
16%
10%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1906 |
BOL
1 - 1
NEW
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1906 |
PNE
0 - 0
NEW
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |