Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
47.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BIR
0 - 0
HUL
35%
27%
39%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 2
BIR
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BIR
0 - 2
HUR
28%
27%
46%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
REA
2 - 1
BIR
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
STO
2 - 2
BIR
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
MIL
0 - 0
MID
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
SHE
4 - 1
MID
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
MID
2 - 1
LUT
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
MID
1 - 0
TOT
11%
19%
71%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 2
MID
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |