Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1927 |
SHW
2 - 3
BIR
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1927 |
BIR
1 - 1
BOL
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1927 |
BBU
4 - 4
BIR
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1927 |
BIR
1 - 3
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1927 |
EVE
5 - 2
BIR
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1927 |
ASV
5 - 1
MID
65%
18%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1927 |
MID
3 - 3
SHW
67%
18%
16%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1927 |
BOL
0 - 0
MID
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1927 |
MID
2 - 0
BBU
54%
21%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1927 |
TOT
4 - 2
MID
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |