Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1924 |
BUR
1 - 2
BIR
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 1
BIR
46%
26%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1924 |
BIR
0 - 2
NTT
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1924 |
BIR
3 - 2
TOT
42%
29%
30%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1924 |
BOL
1 - 1
BIR
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1924 |
MID
0 - 1
WBA
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1924 |
BBU
2 - 0
MID
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1924 |
MID
1 - 1
EVE
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1924 |
EVE
1 - 0
MID
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1924 |
MID
0 - 1
SHE
46%
25%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |