Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1922 |
MID
2 - 1
BIR
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1922 |
BIR
1 - 1
BBU
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1922 |
BBU
1 - 1
BIR
69%
18%
13%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1922 |
BIR
2 - 0
BOL
37%
26%
38%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1922 |
BOL
3 - 0
BIR
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1922 |
MID
2 - 1
BIR
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1922 |
MID
2 - 1
OLD
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1922 |
OLD
0 - 0
MID
37%
26%
38%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1922 |
MID
2 - 2
ASV
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1922 |
ASV
2 - 2
MID
54%
21%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |