Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
7.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1906 |
MAC
1 - 0
BIR
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1906 |
BIR
3 - 1
BCF
76%
14%
11%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1906 |
SHW
0 - 1
BIR
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1906 |
BIR
5 - 1
ARS
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1906 |
EVE
3 - 0
BIR
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1906 |
MID
2 - 1
SUN
42%
24%
35%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1906 |
BBU
4 - 1
MID
70%
17%
13%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1906 |
MID
5 - 0
STO
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1906 |
MUD
3 - 1
MID
76%
14%
9%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1906 |
MID
0 - 0
BOL
40%
23%
38%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |