Birmingham City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
34.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1958 |
TOT
0 - 4
BIR
76%
14%
11%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1958 |
BIR
1 - 0
NEW
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1958 |
BIR
2 - 0
KOL
84%
9%
7%
|
78 | 16 | 62 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1958 |
BBU
3 - 2
BIR
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1958 |
BIR
2 - 2
OPA
63%
18%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1958 |
MUD
2 - 1
LUT
66%
19%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1958 |
BOL
6 - 3
MUD
46%
22%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1958 |
MUD
1 - 3
BUR
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1958 |
LEE
1 - 2
MUD
31%
23%
45%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1958 |
MUD
1 - 2
WBA
58%
20%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |