Birmingham City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1949 |
LIV
1 - 0
BIR
66%
20%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1949 |
BIR
0 - 0
BOL
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1949 |
BIR
1 - 0
CHA
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1949 |
STO
2 - 1
BIR
68%
19%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1949 |
BIR
0 - 0
EVE
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1949 |
MUD
3 - 0
STO
69%
17%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1949 |
CHA
2 - 3
MUD
44%
24%
32%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1949 |
HUL
0 - 1
MUD
26%
23%
51%
|
86 | 49 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1949 |
ASV
2 - 1
MUD
47%
23%
31%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1949 |
MUD
0 - 0
MAC
72%
16%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |