Birmingham City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1931 |
CHL
0 - 3
BIR
48%
23%
29%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1931 |
BIR
2 - 2
CHL
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1931 |
BIR
0 - 4
ASV
39%
24%
37%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1931 |
BPO
0 - 1
BIR
48%
22%
31%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1931 |
BIR
4 - 1
BBU
42%
24%
34%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1931 |
ARS
4 - 1
MUD
75%
15%
10%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1931 |
MUD
1 - 0
WHU
36%
24%
40%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1931 |
MUD
1 - 3
MAC
36%
24%
40%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1931 |
GRI
2 - 1
MUD
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1931 |
MUD
4 - 1
SHW
32%
24%
44%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +2 |