Birmingham City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1929 |
MUD
0 - 0
BIR
48%
24%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1929 |
BIR
3 - 1
SUN
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1929 |
OPA
2 - 1
BIR
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1929 |
BIR
3 - 0
MAC
41%
24%
35%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1929 |
DER
3 - 1
BIR
64%
18%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1929 |
MUD
0 - 0
BIR
48%
24%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1929 |
MUD
3 - 1
LEE
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1929 |
EVE
0 - 0
MUD
61%
20%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 1
BOL
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1929 |
SUN
2 - 4
MUD
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |