Birmingham City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1927 |
BIR
3 - 1
HUR
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1927 |
TOT
1 - 0
BIR
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1927 |
BIR
2 - 3
SHE
39%
26%
36%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1927 |
ARS
3 - 0
BIR
56%
22%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1927 |
BIR
1 - 2
CAR
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1927 |
SHW
0 - 2
MUD
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1927 |
MUD
3 - 0
MID
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1927 |
WBA
2 - 2
MUD
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1927 |
MUD
0 - 0
SUN
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1927 |
HUR
0 - 0
MUD
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |