Birmingham City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1926 |
LEE
0 - 0
BIR
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1926 |
BIR
1 - 7
BUR
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1926 |
LIV
2 - 2
BIR
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1926 |
MAC
2 - 4
BIR
62%
19%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1926 |
BIR
1 - 1
NEW
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1926 |
NEW
4 - 1
MUD
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1926 |
BBU
7 - 0
MUD
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1926 |
MUD
0 - 1
NOT
57%
24%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1926 |
MUD
0 - 1
BCF
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1926 |
NOT
0 - 3
MUD
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |