Birmingham City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
24.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1961 |
WOL
5 - 1
BIR
82%
11%
7%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1961 |
BIR
1 - 1
ASV
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1961 |
CHL
3 - 2
BIR
61%
19%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1961 |
BIR
4 - 2
WHU
54%
21%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1961 |
NTT
1 - 0
BIR
46%
23%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1961 |
BBU
4 - 1
MAC
53%
20%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1961 |
MAC
2 - 1
EVE
51%
21%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1961 |
MAC
1 - 3
MUD
40%
22%
39%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1961 |
MAC
0 - 1
TOT
34%
23%
43%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1961 |
MAC
3 - 0
WBA
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |