Birmingham City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
23.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1959 |
BBU
2 - 1
BIR
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1959 |
BIR
2 - 1
BPO
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1959 |
EVE
4 - 0
BIR
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1959 |
BIR
4 - 2
UNI
67%
17%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1959 |
BIR
1 - 1
LUT
70%
17%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1959 |
MAC
3 - 4
NEW
56%
20%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1959 |
WBA
2 - 0
MAC
58%
19%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1959 |
MAC
1 - 1
CHL
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1959 |
WHU
4 - 1
MAC
56%
20%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1959 |
MAC
1 - 2
TOT
52%
21%
27%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |