Birmingham City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1958 |
BIR
4 - 1
ASV
61%
19%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1958 |
BIR
4 - 2
BPO
49%
22%
28%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1958 |
CHL
1 - 0
BIR
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1958 |
BIR
0 - 4
MUD
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1958 |
TOT
0 - 4
BIR
76%
14%
11%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1958 |
MAC
1 - 4
BUR
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1958 |
MAC
3 - 1
WHU
69%
16%
15%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1958 |
ASV
1 - 1
MAC
45%
22%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1958 |
MAC
0 - 1
BBU
63%
18%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1958 |
BPO
0 - 0
MAC
54%
20%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |