Birmingham City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1957 |
WBA
0 - 0
BIR
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1957 |
SHW
5 - 3
BIR
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1957 |
BIR
3 - 1
PNE
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1957 |
TOT
7 - 1
BIR
71%
16%
13%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1957 |
BUR
3 - 1
BIR
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1957 |
MAC
5 - 1
TOT
58%
20%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1957 |
WBA
9 - 2
MAC
52%
22%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1957 |
PNE
6 - 1
MAC
60%
19%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1957 |
MAC
2 - 1
OPA
62%
18%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1957 |
MAC
2 - 0
PNE
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |