Birmingham City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1950 |
FUL
0 - 0
BIR
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1950 |
BIR
2 - 1
HUR
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1950 |
OPA
2 - 0
BIR
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1950 |
BOL
1 - 0
BIR
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1950 |
BIR
2 - 1
ARS
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1950 |
MAC
1 - 1
BOL
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1950 |
STO
2 - 0
MAC
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1950 |
MAC
1 - 1
CHL
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1950 |
MAC
0 - 1
MID
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1950 |
BPO
0 - 0
MAC
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |