Birmingham City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1948 |
BIR
1 - 0
PNE
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1948 |
MAC
1 - 0
BIR
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1948 |
EVE
0 - 5
BIR
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1948 |
MID
1 - 1
BIR
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1948 |
BIR
1 - 0
CHL
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1948 |
MAC
0 - 0
MUD
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1948 |
MAC
1 - 0
BIR
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1948 |
CHA
3 - 2
MAC
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1948 |
PNE
1 - 3
MAC
66%
19%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1948 |
MAC
0 - 0
STO
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |