Birmingham City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1932 |
MAC
2 - 1
BIR
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1932 |
LEI
3 - 1
BIR
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1932 |
BIR
1 - 2
SHW
43%
23%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1932 |
BOL
5 - 1
BIR
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1932 |
BIR
3 - 0
MID
46%
22%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1932 |
MAC
2 - 1
BIR
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1932 |
GRI
2 - 1
MAC
44%
22%
34%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1932 |
MAC
1 - 2
MID
65%
17%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1932 |
ARS
1 - 0
MAC
69%
16%
15%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1932 |
MAC
5 - 1
NEW
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |