Birmingham City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1930 |
BIR
1 - 1
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1930 |
DER
0 - 0
BIR
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1930 |
LEI
2 - 1
BIR
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1930 |
BIR
3 - 1
SHE
45%
24%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1930 |
BIR
3 - 0
LEI
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1930 |
LEE
4 - 2
MAC
49%
22%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1930 |
MAC
0 - 2
LEI
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1930 |
MAC
2 - 4
BPO
74%
14%
12%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1930 |
SUN
3 - 3
MAC
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1930 |
SHW
5 - 1
MAC
62%
20%
19%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |