Birmingham City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
BCF
1 - 4
BIR
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
BIR
1 - 1
NTT
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1925 |
TOT
0 - 1
BIR
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1925 |
LIV
1 - 1
BIR
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1925 |
BBU
7 - 1
BIR
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1925 |
MAC
4 - 2
LEE
69%
19%
13%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1925 |
MAC
1 - 0
ASV
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1925 |
BUR
1 - 0
MAC
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1925 |
ASV
2 - 1
MAC
52%
23%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1925 |
MAC
2 - 1
PNE
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |