Birmingham City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1922 |
BRA
1 - 2
BIR
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1922 |
MAC
1 - 0
BIR
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1922 |
TOT
2 - 1
BIR
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1922 |
BIR
0 - 3
TOT
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1922 |
BIR
4 - 3
MID
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1922 |
BUR
5 - 2
MAC
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1922 |
MAC
1 - 0
BIR
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1922 |
MAC
2 - 2
SHE
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1922 |
MAC
2 - 0
PNE
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1922 |
SHE
1 - 0
MAC
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |