Birmingham City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
BIR
2 - 1
SHW
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1907 |
ARS
1 - 1
BIR
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1907 |
BIR
0 - 2
SUN
64%
18%
17%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1907 |
NEW
8 - 0
BIR
76%
16%
9%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1907 |
BIR
2 - 1
BOL
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1907 |
MUD
3 - 1
MAC
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1907 |
MAC
4 - 2
NTT
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1907 |
CHL
2 - 2
MAC
51%
21%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1907 |
MID
2 - 0
MAC
39%
23%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1907 |
MAC
1 - 1
LIV
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |