Birmingham City vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
42%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1986 |
NTT
3 - 0
BIR
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
BIR
1 - 1
MUD
20%
26%
54%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
ASV
0 - 3
BIR
66%
20%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
BIR
1 - 2
TOT
28%
30%
42%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
LEI
4 - 2
BIR
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1986 |
LUT
3 - 0
WBA
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
LEI
0 - 0
LUT
48%
25%
28%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1986 |
LUT
2 - 1
EVE
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1986 |
MUD
2 - 0
LUT
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
LUT
1 - 2
OXF
68%
19%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |