Birmingham City vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1958 |
WBA
2 - 2
BIR
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1958 |
ASV
1 - 1
BIR
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1958 |
BIR
0 - 1
LEI
61%
18%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1958 |
MUD
0 - 2
BIR
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1958 |
BIR
1 - 1
LEE
66%
18%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1958 |
LEE
1 - 1
LUT
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1958 |
LUT
1 - 1
WBA
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1958 |
WBA
4 - 2
LUT
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1958 |
LUT
2 - 1
OPA
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1958 |
NTT
1 - 0
LUT
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |