Birmingham City vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
19.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1956 |
LEE
1 - 1
BIR
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1956 |
BIR
0 - 0
BOL
68%
18%
15%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1956 |
WOL
3 - 0
BIR
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1956 |
BIR
2 - 1
CAR
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1956 |
CHL
1 - 0
BIR
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1956 |
LUT
2 - 0
SHW
52%
21%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1956 |
NEW
2 - 2
LUT
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1956 |
LUT
2 - 2
LEE
57%
21%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1956 |
TOT
5 - 0
LUT
63%
19%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1956 |
LUT
2 - 0
EVE
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |