Birmingham City vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1949 |
BIR
1 - 1
WOL
25%
24%
50%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
SUN
1 - 1
BIR
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1949 |
BIR
0 - 1
BUR
44%
27%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1949 |
WBA
3 - 0
BIR
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1949 |
STO
3 - 1
BIR
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1949 |
LIV
1 - 1
BOL
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1949 |
LIV
1 - 1
MUD
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1949 |
ARS
1 - 2
LIV
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1949 |
LIV
1 - 1
STO
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1949 |
EVE
0 - 0
LIV
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |