Birmingham City vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1932 |
HUR
1 - 1
BIR
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1932 |
BIR
1 - 1
ASV
38%
23%
39%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1932 |
BIR
1 - 5
MAC
46%
23%
31%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1932 |
MAC
2 - 1
BIR
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1932 |
LEI
3 - 1
BIR
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1932 |
LIV
2 - 1
ARS
48%
22%
30%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1932 |
LIV
2 - 1
CHL
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1932 |
MAC
0 - 1
LIV
66%
17%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1932 |
HUR
4 - 3
LIV
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1932 |
LIV
0 - 3
HUR
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |