Birmingham City vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1985 |
MID
0 - 0
BIR
33%
30%
37%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1985 |
BIR
2 - 0
CAR
65%
21%
13%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1985 |
BAR
0 - 1
BIR
39%
29%
33%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1985 |
BIR
2 - 1
CHA
64%
22%
14%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1985 |
BIR
3 - 0
CRY
66%
22%
13%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1985 |
LEE
1 - 0
STF
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1985 |
WIM
2 - 2
LEE
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1985 |
LEE
1 - 0
OXF
49%
28%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1985 |
BHA
1 - 1
LEE
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1985 |
LEE
4 - 1
CRY
63%
23%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |