Birmingham City vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1959 |
BUR
3 - 1
BIR
60%
21%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1959 |
BIR
3 - 4
LEI
66%
17%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1959 |
CHL
4 - 2
BIR
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1959 |
PNE
3 - 2
BIR
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1959 |
BIR
1 - 1
CHL
63%
18%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1959 |
LEE
2 - 3
NEW
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1959 |
WBA
3 - 0
LEE
68%
17%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1959 |
LEE
2 - 2
MUD
28%
23%
50%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1959 |
LEE
2 - 1
CHL
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1959 |
MUD
6 - 0
LEE
74%
15%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |