Birmingham City vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1930 |
BIR
2 - 0
LIV
46%
23%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1930 |
SHW
9 - 1
BIR
72%
17%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1930 |
BIR
2 - 0
HUR
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1930 |
BOL
2 - 0
BIR
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1930 |
BIR
4 - 1
GRI
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1930 |
LEE
5 - 0
MUD
67%
17%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1930 |
ASV
4 - 3
LEE
74%
15%
11%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1930 |
LEE
3 - 1
BOL
53%
21%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1930 |
GRI
2 - 0
LEE
53%
22%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1930 |
LEE
2 - 3
CHL
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |