Birmingham City vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1925 |
BUR
3 - 2
BIR
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1925 |
BIR
3 - 0
PNE
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1925 |
CAR
1 - 0
BIR
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1925 |
BIR
2 - 1
SUN
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1925 |
BOL
3 - 0
BIR
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1925 |
HUR
2 - 0
LEE
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1925 |
LEE
0 - 2
BUR
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1925 |
PNE
1 - 4
LEE
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1925 |
LEE
0 - 0
CAR
35%
29%
36%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1924 |
SUN
2 - 1
LEE
71%
17%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |