Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Birmingham City vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
32.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1961 |
LEI
3 - 2
BIR
63%
19%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1961 |
BIR
0 - 1
BUR
43%
23%
34%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1961 |
BIR
0 - 2
BPO
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1961 |
INT
1 - 2
BIR
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1961 |
MUD
4 - 1
BIR
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1961 |
INT
0 - 1
LAZ
79%
13%
9%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
SPA
1 - 3
INT
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1961 |
INT
1 - 2
BIR
73%
15%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
JUV
9 - 1
INT
76%
14%
11%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
INT
0 - 0
BOL
76%
14%
10%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |