Birmingham City vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1934 |
DER
1 - 1
BIR
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1934 |
BIR
2 - 3
LEI
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1934 |
WOL
3 - 1
BIR
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1934 |
BIR
0 - 1
CHL
54%
23%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1934 |
LIV
5 - 4
BIR
67%
18%
16%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1934 |
GRI
2 - 2
ARS
43%
24%
34%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1934 |
BBU
2 - 2
GRI
60%
19%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1934 |
GRI
3 - 2
LEE
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1934 |
LIV
1 - 1
GRI
65%
17%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1934 |
DER
1 - 4
GRI
64%
18%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |