Birmingham City vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1930 |
BIR
1 - 0
OPA
53%
24%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1930 |
GRI
2 - 1
BIR
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1930 |
MAC
1 - 4
BIR
72%
16%
13%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1930 |
BIR
2 - 4
DER
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1930 |
NEW
1 - 1
BIR
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1930 |
GRI
2 - 1
DER
44%
23%
33%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1930 |
GRI
2 - 1
BIR
45%
23%
32%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1930 |
EVE
2 - 4
GRI
69%
17%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1930 |
GRI
1 - 1
BOL
41%
23%
36%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1930 |
ASV
4 - 1
GRI
77%
14%
10%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |