Birmingham City vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
BIR
1 - 1
DER
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BUR
2 - 2
BIR
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
BRO
1 - 2
BIR
30%
25%
45%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BIR
2 - 1
REA
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
BIR
2 - 3
LEI
26%
24%
50%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
GIL
2 - 0
WIG
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 2
GIL
41%
26%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
GIL
38%
26%
37%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
PLY
1 - 2
GIL
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
GIL
4 - 0
SHE
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |