Birmingham City vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
58.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LEY
1 - 2
BIR
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WYC
2 - 3
BIR
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
BIR
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BIR
1 - 1
REA
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BIR
4 - 1
WBA
28%
24%
48%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FUL
2 - 1
LEI
46%
24%
30%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
MUD
1 - 0
FUL
67%
20%
14%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HOF
0 - 2
FUL
48%
24%
28%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
FUL
1 - 2
SEV
48%
25%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
SLB
0 - 1
FUL
49%
23%
28%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |