EFL Cup 1/64
Global 5-1
Birmingham City vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
BIR
2 - 2
FUL
50%
27%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
SUN
2 - 1
BIR
64%
22%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
BIR
1 - 0
IPS
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
BRI
1 - 2
BIR
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1999 |
BIR
1 - 0
QPR
62%
23%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
EXE
1 - 0
HUL
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
EXE
2 - 1
HAL
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1999 |
DAR
4 - 0
EXE
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
BRE
3 - 0
EXE
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1999 |
MAN
0 - 1
EXE
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |