Birmingham City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
59.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1986 |
BIR
1 - 2
ALT
76%
15%
8%
|
75 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1986 |
BIR
0 - 1
IPS
37%
29%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1986 |
MUD
1 - 0
BIR
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1985 |
MAC
1 - 1
BIR
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1985 |
BIR
0 - 1
NTT
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1986 |
EVE
4 - 3
QPR
76%
16%
9%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
EVE
1 - 0
EXE
87%
10%
4%
|
89 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1986 |
NEW
2 - 2
EVE
27%
26%
47%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1985 |
EVE
3 - 1
SHW
74%
16%
9%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1985 |
EVE
3 - 1
MUD
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |