Birmingham City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
35.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1928 |
MUD
1 - 1
BIR
51%
23%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1928 |
NEW
1 - 1
BIR
68%
18%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1927 |
BIR
3 - 2
TOT
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1927 |
BIR
1 - 1
SUN
38%
24%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1927 |
DER
4 - 1
BIR
62%
19%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1928 |
EVE
3 - 1
MID
60%
20%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1928 |
BBU
4 - 2
EVE
54%
22%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1927 |
SHW
1 - 2
EVE
46%
22%
31%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1927 |
CAR
2 - 0
EVE
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1927 |
EVE
2 - 1
CAR
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |