Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Last 16
Global 3-5
Birmingham City vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1961 |
BIR
3 - 0
CAR
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1961 |
SHE
3 - 1
BIR
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1961 |
BIR
4 - 0
WHU
51%
21%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1961 |
ESP
5 - 2
BIR
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1961 |
BBU
2 - 0
BIR
55%
21%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
ESP
2 - 2
BET
49%
24%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
OVI
1 - 0
ESP
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
ESP
1 - 3
ZAR
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1961 |
ESP
5 - 2
BIR
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
RMA
3 - 1
ESP
94%
5%
2%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |