Birmingham City vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
IPS
1 - 0
BIR
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
BIR
0 - 2
SWA
16%
22%
63%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
KID
1 - 1
BIR
22%
24%
54%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
OXF
0 - 2
BIR
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
IKS
1 - 0
BIR
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
CRA
1 - 3
POR
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
CRA
1 - 2
OPA
18%
23%
59%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
BOG
1 - 2
CRA
48%
24%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
CRA
0 - 6
BHA
9%
18%
73%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
DUL
2 - 4
CRA
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |