Birmingham City vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SHE
0 - 1
BIR
66%
23%
11%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
TAM
3 - 1
BIR
15%
22%
63%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
BIR
0 - 4
WBA
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
NOR
3 - 2
BIR
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
BIR
1 - 1
BAR
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CUM
0 - 0
COL
56%
24%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
WEA
1 - 1
COL
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
COL
3 - 3
IPS
32%
26%
43%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
COL
0 - 2
GIL
22%
23%
56%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
COL
0 - 3
TOT
4%
13%
83%
|
52 | 89 | 37 | 0 |