FA Cup Last 16
Global 1-3
Birmingham City vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
57.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BIR
2 - 2
DER
67%
22%
11%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BIR
1 - 2
NTT
66%
22%
12%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 3
BIR
21%
25%
54%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CHL
1 - 1
BIR
81%
13%
6%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
BIR
0 - 0
HUL
59%
25%
16%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
WBA
1 - 0
CHL
22%
25%
54%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CHL
3 - 0
BOL
80%
14%
7%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
NAP
3 - 1
CHL
29%
27%
45%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CHL
1 - 1
BIR
81%
13%
6%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
EVE
2 - 0
CHL
28%
26%
46%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | -1 |